Chen,
Roll, and Ross were one of the first to explore the link
between macroeconomic variables and stock prices in 1986.
The link between the macro economy and the stock market
has intuitive appeal, as macroeconomic variables affect
both expected cash flows accruing to stockholders and
discount rates. Empirically, the evidence linking macroeconomic
factors to the stock market is mixed at best. In this
context, the paper, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty of
the 1990s and Volatility at Karachi Stock Exchange",
by Dawood Mamoon and Eatzaz Ahmad, study the short- to
medium-term trends and volatility in Karachi Stock Exchange
(KSE) and explore the nature of relationship between stock
market activities and a set of macroeconomic variables
for the decade of 1990. This paper finds that there is
a negative long-run relationship between stock price index
and trading volume, which suggests that the stock market
has grown in size but its performance in terms of price
has deteriorated. This paper also finds that the level
of real activity as indicated by manufacturing sector's
output, responded positively to the changes in stock price
index.
Foreign
capital inflows can make significant contributions to
the host country's economic growth and development by
easing the constraints of low domestic saving and investment.
Capital inflows have also helped individual countries
to cushion shocks. In this context, the paper, "Trends,
Behavioral Patterns and Growth Implications of Foreign
Private Capital Flows in Nigeria", by Risikat Oladoyin
S Dauda, investigates the trend and behavioral patterns
of foreign capital flows and assesses the impact of various
components of foreign private capital flows on economic
performance in Nigeria. This paper analyzes that there
is a positive relationship between foreign private capital
flow proxied by Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and equity
or portfolio investment and index of industrial production
during the period from 1986 to 2006.
In
the era of global integration of financial markets, recurrent
economic problems in Africa and constant and multiple
efforts by African governments to restructure the economies
and modernize the stock exchanges, there is great need
to constantly determine the present return characteristics
of the African stock markets. In this context, the paper,
"Return Distributions: Evidence from Emerging African
Stock Exchanges", by Subadar Agathee Ushad, Sooraj
Fowdar, Sannassee Raja Vinesh, and Moushumi Jowaheer,
scrutinizes the characteristics of the return distributional
properties with particular reference to emerging African
stock exchanges and compares these returns with a developed
market benchmark. The correlation of emerging market returns
have also been discussed in this paper.
Economic
theory suggests that stock prices should reflect expectations
about future corporate performance, and corporate profits
generally reflect the level of economic activities. Therefore,
the causal relations and dynamic interactions among macroeconomic
variables and stock prices are important to formulate
the nation's macroeconomic policy. The paper, "Association
Between Stock Market Liquidity and Some Selected Macroeconomic
Variables: A Case Study on Indian Stock Market",
by Som Sankar Sen and Santanu Kumar Ghosh,
investigates the impact of five selected macroeconomic
variables on Stock Market Liquidity of two premier stock
exchanges of India, i.e., Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
and National Stock Exchange (NSE). This paper also tries
to find out the possible nexus between market liquidity
of BSE and NSE with some very important economic variables
namely Index of Industrial Production (IIP), Consumer
Price Index (CPI), Exchange Rate of Indian Rupee
against the US Dollar (EXRATE), Gold price (GOLD)
and Money Supply (M3).
The
potential presence of stochastic long memory in financial
asset returns has been an important subject of both theoretical
and empirical research. If assets display long memory,
or long-term dependence, they exhibit significant autocorrelation
between observations widely separated in time. The paper,
"Long Memory of the Indian Stock Market", by
Ashutosh Verma, studies the long memory of the Indian
stock market by examining the daily returns of 60 companies
with around 62% of the total market capitalization over
a period of five years. This paper also studies the long
memory process and efficiency of the Indian stock market.
Foreign
Direct Investment (FDI) has been the most attractive type
of capital flow for emerging market economies because
of its lasting nature and also because it is considered
as a vehicle for transformation of the domestic production
process through bridging the technological gap. In this
regard, the paper, "Position of Foreign Direct Investment
in India", by Komal Narang and Ravi Inder Singh,
looks at the position of FDI in India. With policy reforms,
better infrastructure and a more vibrant financial sector,
the inflow of FDI into India accelerated in 2006-07. The
trend continued in the current financial year with gross
FDI inflows at $11.2 bn in the first six months. The FDI
inflows continued to be preponderantly of the equity variety,
broad-based and spread across a range of economic activities
like financial services, manufacturing, banking services,
information technology services and construction. The
data of last 15 years from 1991-92 to 2006-07 has analyzed
the sector-wise FDI inflows in India.
- Srinivasulu Bayineni
Consulting
Editor